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☆ If this is a stock market correction, here's how history says it will unfold
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-16 | by ( Yun Li | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The recent retreat in the stock market has made many worried about a deeper correction. Lingering inflation concerns, rising Treasury yields and a shifting outlook for Federal Reserve interest rate policy prompted a market pullback, with the S & P 500 almost 4% off its 52-week high as of Tuesday. A correction is defined as a 10% decline in one of the major U.S. stock indexes, typically the S & P 500 or Dow Jones Industrial Average, from a recent 52-week high close. .SPX 1Y mountain S & P 500 More to go? The heightened geopolitical risk led U.K. investment bank Liberum Capital to call for oil to surge to $100 and a stock market correction as big as 10%.

Persons: Sam Stovall, it's, Stovall, Jonathan Krinsky, Krinsky, Marko Kolanovic Organizations: Federal Reserve, CFRA Research, Dow Jones Locations: U.S

☆ Markets can rally without rate cuts this year, says CFRA's Sam Stovall
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailMarkets can rally without rate cuts this year, says CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss if equity markets can rally without rate cuts, what will drive the market's growth, and more.

Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research

☆ CFRA's Stovall says the S&P 500 can go higher, but expects a correction ahead. Here are his picks to play it
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-11 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +1 min

CFRA's Sam Stovall anticipates the stock market can go higher even without rate cuts, but has the playbook to navigate a possible correction if one develops. The chief investment strategist expects the S & P 500 still has further upside. But he sees a bumpy road ahead, anticipating a consolidation of about 8% to 10% after the market's recent gains. "As a result, I think there is, after we get through this much-anticipated correction that history says is overdue, I think we do end up being higher by year-end," Stovall said. After such a pullback, however, the best-performing assets were in communication services, financials and technology, Stovall said.

Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall, Stovall, CNBC's Organizations: Federal Reserve, NextEra Energy, Procter, Gamble

☆ We're going through a 'digestive phase' right now in tech, says CFRA's Sam Stovall
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailWe're going through a 'digestive phase' right now in tech, says CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, why he believes the S&P 500 is getting increasingly vulnerable to a meaningful sell-off, tech sector performance, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more.

Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research

☆ Investors should buckle up as strong first quarters often lead to 'frightful' corrections, says Sam Stovall
▼ + stars: | 2024-04-02 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

It is time for investors to buckle up as a strong first quarter could be followed by a frightful year, according to CFRA's Sam Stovall. .SPX 1D mountain S & P 500 History shows investors should expect volatility can continue, according to Stovall. A strong first quarter typically suggests a good second quarter, the strategist found. After 13 of those 15 strongest first quarters, the S & P 500 registered "intrayear" declines of 5% or more. "So, in other words, this strong start implies a frightful yet fulfilling full-year performance for the S & P 500," he said.

Persons: Sam Stovall, Stocks, Stovall, CNBC's, — Organizations: Fed

☆ Wall Street could be in for another good quarter after an exuberant start to the year, history shows
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-28 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +7 min

Wall Street could be in for another solid quarter as stocks have embarked on a strong start to the year. Specifically, in the second quarter, the S & P 500 was higher 9 out of 11 times, averaging a 2.7% gain. Significantly, two occurrences of those 10% first-quarter gains Detrick reviewed took place during election years, with the S & P 500 ending higher on the year. In 1976, the S & P 500 went on to register a 1.5% increase in the second quarter, and a 4.6% jump for the rest of the year. The Wall Street firm maintained its year-end S & P 500 target of 5,050, representing a 3.8% slide from Wednesday's close.

Persons: Ryan Detrick, We've, there'd, Detrick, CNBC's, Research's Sam Stovall, Stovall, Piper Sandler, Craig Johnson, Brian Nick, Nick, John Stoltzfus, Ayako Yoshioka, Yoshioka, CFRA's Stovall, FactSet Organizations: Nvidia, VanEck Semiconductor, Dow Jones, Carson Group, Macro, PMI, Manufacturing, ADP, Survey, Services PMI, Weston Holdings, Conagra Brands, Consumer Credit Locations: U.S

The Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE), operated by Japan Exchange Group Inc. (JPX), in Tokyo, Japan, on Friday, Feb. 16, 2024. Kosuke Okahara/Bloomberg via Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were set to fall Tuesday as the U.S. market took a breather following a rally sparked by optimism over the Federal Reserve's interest rate stance at its latest meeting. "We're coming off of a post-FOMC high," he told CNBC, referring to the U.S. Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee meeting last week. "The market is getting more and more vulnerable to a market decline or a pullback in prices." Investors in Asia also await economic data out of Southeast Asia, including Singapore's manufacturing output and Thailand's trade balance.

Persons: Kosuke Okahara, Sam Stovall Organizations: Tokyo Stock Exchange, Japan Exchange Group Inc, Bloomberg, Getty Images, Federal, CFRA Research, CNBC, U.S, U.S . Federal Locations: Tokyo, Japan, Getty Images Asia, Pacific, U.S, U.S ., Asia, Southeast Asia

Stocks retreated on Friday, closing out a turbulent week as Nvidia 's incredible run took a breather. The broad S&P 500 pulled back by 0.26% this week, while the blue-chip Dow and tech-heavy Nasdaq fell 0.93% and 1.17%, respectively. That decline marked the worst week for the 30-stock Dow since October. The artificial intelligence darling finished down more than 5% in its worst session since late May. Despite that breather, Nvidia shares still finished up more than 6% on the week.

Persons: Stocks, Sam Stovall, We've Organizations: Nvidia, Nasdaq, Dow Jones Industrial, Dow, CFRA Research

☆ The market is due for some sort of digestion of gains, says CFRA's Sam Stovall
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-04 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe market is due for some sort of digestion of gains, says CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the latest market trends, state of the economy, the Fed's interest rate outlook, and more.

Persons: CFRA's Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: CFRA Research

☆ March in a presidential election year may kick off a weak period. Here's why that could be a buying opportunity
▼ + stars: | 2024-03-01 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Seasonally speaking, stocks could be in for a pullback as the calendar turns to March in a presidential election year. In every March since 1950, the S & P 500 historically rises 1.1%, but the same month in presidential election years scores a smaller 0.4% advance on average. Currently, the S & P 500 is trading around the 5,100 level. But Hirsch advised investors to watch S & P 500 support levels closer to 4,800, the prior all-time high, or 4,600, the high from the summer of 2023. That's because Hirsch anticipates the S & P 500 will rise to 5,500 by year end, so any dips may prove a buying opportunity for investors.

Persons: Jeffrey Hirsch, Russell, Hirsch, it's, you've, —, Hirsch isn't, Katie Stockton, Sam Stovall, Stovall Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, CFRA Research

☆ S&P on pace to score fourth month of consecutive gains. History tells us what could come next
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-29 | by ( Bob Pisani | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

The S & P 500 is ending February with a gain of almost 5%. S & P 500: Four big months November: up 8.9% December: up 4.4% January: up 1.6% February: up 4.6% The November gain of 8.9% was one of the 20 best monthly performances in history. The S & P has advanced about 5% since passing the old January 2022 historic high, which it crossed on Jan. 19, this year. Put another way: the S & P has recovered all the bear market losses from the old high in January 2022 to the bear market bottom in October 2022, and added another 5%. "Yet it also offers encouragement that no post-recovery selloff saw the start of a new bear market before rebounding and proceeding onto additional new highs."

Persons: Steve Starker, Todd Sohn, Eli Lilly, Nicholas Colas, Sam Stovall Organizations: Nvidia, P, Technology, Services, Care, Broadcom, Communication Services, Meta, Health Care, Merck, Depot, Costco, JPMorgan, Mastercard, Berkshire Hathaway, Research Locations: BTIG

☆ Trump warns the market will crash if he loses. Investors just laugh
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( Matt Egan | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +7 min

New York CNN —Former President Donald Trump is once again warning the stock market is doomed unless voters return him to the White House. He went on to say a loss for him would spark “the largest stock market crash we’ve ever had.”But there is no evidence to support that claim. “This is just an encore presentation of what he said last time,” said Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Financial. In fact, the stock market has generated higher annual returns when Democrats are in power. It’s true that Trump’s surprise victory in November 2016 helped spark an impressive rally in the stock market as investors bet on deregulation, tax cuts and infrastructure.

Persons: Donald Trump, Trump, you’re, ” Trump, ”, Brian Gardner, “ There’s, ” David Kelly, “, Kelly, Joe Biden, Biden, Hogan, ” Sam Stovall, he’s, “ It’s, Dow, ” Kelly, Gardner, James Singer, CNN it’s “, ” Singer, Jerome Powell —, Powell, Jerome Powell, Greg Valliere, Trump’s Organizations: New, New York CNN, CNN, White, Trump, Asset Management, Dow, Riley, CFRA Research, GOP, “, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, JPMorgan, Biden, Republicans, Democrat, Research, —, Republican, AGF Investments Locations: New York, Washington, Trump, China

☆ Premarket stocks: This rally is nearly unprecedented. Can it last?
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-27 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +8 min

Just last week the S&P 500 hit a new all-time high and notched its best showing in a year. But this nearly unprecedented surge in the markets is sparking some concern over what’s driving the rally and whether it can continue. The S&P 500 and Dow last week each reached record levels after blockbuster earnings from the chipmaker set off a broad market rally. The S&P 500 is up more than 6% for the year, but when you equally weigh all of the stocks in the index, it’s up just 2.5%. Last year, the S&P 500 rose by 24.2%, but the equally-weighted index was up by just 11.6%.

Persons: Sam Stovall, Tesla, Jamie Dimon, ” Dimon, CNBC’s Leslie Picker, That’s, ”, What’s, Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway, Eva Rothenberg, Buffett, Gary Pilnick’s, WK Kellogg, Pilnick, Bran, ” Pilnick, hasn’t, Carl Quintanilla Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN —, Nvidia, Dow, Nasdaq, Health, Tech, Deutsche Bank, Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Google, JPMorgan, Federal Reserve, Traders, PCE, Berkshire, CNBC Locations: New York, Berkshire, Omaha , Nebraska, Omaha, United States

Stocks fell Tuesday as Nvidia led a broader tech decline ahead of the chipmaker's earnings report. Shares of Nvidia , which is set to report earnings Wednesday after the bell, fell more than 5%. Although Nvidia is expected to post impressive results, investors have expressed concerns about its sky-high valuation. Walmart shares added more than 4% after the big-box retailer also beat quarterly earnings and revenue expectations, fueled by double-digit growth in the company's global e-commerce sales. Tuesday kicks off the shortened trading week after U.S. markets were closed Monday in observance of the birthday of George Washington.

Persons: Stocks, Sam Stovall, George Washington Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nvidia, Dow Jones, Nasdaq, Microsoft, Meta, CFRA Research, Discover Financial Services, Discover, Walmart, Federal Reserve

☆ S&P 500 closes above key 5,000 level for first time
▼ + stars: | 2024-02-09 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | Krystal Hur | ) edition.cnn.com time to read: +2 min

New York CNN —The S&P 500 closed above the 5,000 level on Friday for the first time as bullish sentiment spreads across Wall Street and investors cheered fresh data showing progress on inflation. The S&P 500 briefly topped 5,000 for the first time intraday on Thursday. It took almost 41 years for the S&P 500 to reach its first major milestone of 1,000, which it hit on February 2, 1998, according to Howard Silverblatt, senior index analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices. When the S&P 500 sets a new high in January, found Sam Stovall at CFRA Research, it reaches new highs in February about 75% of the time. The S&P 500 is up about 5.4% so far this year.

Persons: Howard Silverblatt, Dow, Sam Stovall, ”, Scott Wren Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, CFRA Research, Fed, Big Tech, Nvidia, Microsoft, Meta, Wells Fargo Investment Institute Locations: New York, Wells Fargo

☆ A look at how stocks perform before and after the Fed's first rate cut — and how it may be different this time
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-31 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

How markets perform after the first Fed rate cut may be more complicated this time than investors expect. The S & P 500 rose just 3.5% in 2007 before collapsing 38% in 2008. A year after the Fed cut rates in 2019, the Covid-19 pandemic weighed on markets. How stocks perform will be especially important as Wall Street assesses when the central bank will cut rates. Markets are currently pricing in a 46% likelihood the Fed will cut rates by a quarter percentage point at its March meeting.

Persons: Ned Davis, Ed Clissold, Sam Stovall, Bear Stearns, Lehman, Stovall Organizations: Federal Reserve, Fed, Dow Jones, Ned Davis Research, Dow, Ned, CFRA Research, Storm, Lehman Brothers Locations: U.S, Iraq, Kuwait

☆ Nasdaq 100 futures slide, Alphabet shares drop after results: Live updates
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +3 min

Futures tied to the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 fell Tuesday night after a pair of mega-cap tech companies posted their quarterly results. Futures tied to the S&P 500 were down 0.4%, while Dow Jones Industrial Average futures traded near the flatline. In after-hours trading, shares of Alphabet dropped 5.3%, while Microsoft shed 0.3% after the tech giants posted quarterly earnings. The fed funds futures market has priced in a nearly 98% probability that the central bank will leave rates unchanged, according to the CME FedWatch tool. Chipmaker Qualcomm is scheduled to announce its quarterly earnings after the close.

Persons: Sam Stovall, —, Stovall, Dow, Jerome Powell's Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, Nasdaq, Federal, Dow Jones Industrial, Microsoft, Fed, Dow, Boeing, Qualcomm Locations: New York City, U.S

☆ Wall Street is on pace to finish January higher. Why that could be good news for the rest of the year
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-30 | by ( Hakyung Kim | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +4 min

That's according to the "January barometer" from the "Stock Trader's Almanac," which argues that "as the S & P 500 goes in January, so goes the rest of the year." The S & P 500 has managed to trade above the 4,900 level already this month and is currently up 3.3% in the new year. That's enough to put the broad market index trading above Wall Street strategists' average 2024 target of 4,914, according to the CNBC PRO Market Strategist Survey. .SPX YTD mountain S & P 500 in 2024 Election Year Notably, 2024 is a U.S. presidential election year. By comparison, the S & P 500 typically gains 15% in those years with a higher January.

Persons: Stocks, Stephen Suttmeier, Suttmeier, Sam Stovall, Outperformers, Dow, Stovall, What's, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Dow Jones Industrial, Nasdaq, Wall, CNBC, Market, Survey, Bank of America, Dow Jones Locations: U.S

☆ The S&P 500 typically sees a 'post-high five' move after hitting a record, CFRA says
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-22 | by ( Sarah Min | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

The most recent bear market was a garden variety bear, Stovall said. The decline, which lasted roughly 15 months from its October 2022 low, took 25.4% of the S & P 500 value from peak to trough. Regardless of what kind of bear market it was, a post-high five move still took place once a bull run was confirmed. The S & P 500 gained 5% on average over the following two to two-and-a-half months. He noted the S & P MidCap 400, S & P SmallCap 600, and Russell 2000 are all more than 10% below their previous record highs.

Persons: that's, Sam Stovall, it's, Stovall, Russell, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: Research, CFRA Research

☆ The financial sector will benefit when the Fed starts cutting rates, CFRA's Sam Stovall
▼ + stars: | 2024-01-17 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com time to read: 1 min

Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThe financial sector will benefit when the Fed starts cutting rates, CFRA's Sam StovallSam Stovall, CFRA Research chief investment strategist, joins 'Squawk on the Street' to discuss if a March rate cut is less than likely, how much tensions in the Middle East could raise inflation, and more.

Persons: Sam Stovall Sam Stovall Organizations: Fed, CFRA Research

Fourth-quarter earnings season is kicking off with a mix of good and bad news. Without those six stocks, the rest of the S & P is expected to see earnings fall 6%. There's a lot riding on earnings in 2024 For the S & P 500 to increase in 2024, earnings need to expand. But with the S & P 500 up over 20% last year, the forward earnings multiple is roughly 19.6, in the very pricey range. We need higher revenues The biggest risk to higher earnings is lower revenue growth.

Persons: Savita Subramanian, General Mills, Mobileye, Nick Raich, Adam Crisafulli, BofA's Subramanian, Deutsche, Binky, Sam Stovall Organizations: Pfizer, Merck, Moderna, Bank of America, Nvidia, Microsoft, Apple, Nike, FedEx, General, Darden, Constellation Brands, Technology, Samsung Electronics, Vital, Deutsche Bank's Locations: Wayfair, Conagra

(PRO subscribers can view the official 2024 strategist survey here . ) "Lifting our 12-month S & P 500 target to 5100 as inflation falls, the Fed turns dovish, and real yields plunge," Kostin wrote. Other Wall Street firms with similarly bullish forecasts include Citigroup and BMO Capital Markets, which each have S & P 500 price targets of 5,100. Barclays' Venu Krishna was even more bearish, anticipating the S & P 500 would fall to 3,725. Entering the penultimate trading week of the year, the S & P 500 is almost 23% higher in 2023, while the Nasdaq Composite has advanced almost 42%.

Persons: —, Stocks, Sam Stovall, Monday, Stovall, Goldman Sachs, David Kostin, Kostin, John Stoltzfus, Stoltzfus, America's Savita Subramanian, JPMorgan's, Bujas, Morgan Stanley, BofA's Subramanian —, Venu Krishna, Oppenheimer's John Stoltzfus, Dow Industrials Organizations: CNBC, Federal Reserve, Dow Jones, CFRA Research, Goldman, Oppenheimer Asset Management, Citigroup, BMO Capital Markets, Bank, America's, Nvidia, Microsoft, Barclays, Nasdaq Locations: Friday's

☆ 'Let your winners ride': Stocks will climb in 2024 as U.S. skirts a recession, CFRA's Stovall says
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-11 | by ( Brian Evans | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +2 min

Stocks will continue to rise as the U.S. skirts a recession in 2024, according to CFRA chief investment strategist Sam Stovall. "By the end of 2024, CFRA sees the S & P 500 challenging the 5,000 level," Stovall wrote in a Friday note. "But since large, round numbers traditionally act like rusty doors, requiring several attempts before finally swinging open, our year-end target for the S & P 500 is 4,940." .SPX YTD mountain The S & P 500 has gained about 21% from the start of 2023. Stovall's forecast implies about 7% upside for the S & P 500 to the end of 2024.

Persons: Sam Stovall, CFRA, Stovall, Stocks, Michael Bloom Organizations: Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Reserve, Treasury Locations: U.S

☆ How every Club stock performed over the past 10 Decembers, a historically strong month
▼ + stars: | 2023-12-05 | by ( Kevin Stankiewicz | In Kevinstankiewicz | ) www.cnbc.com time to read: +6 min

After closing at its highest level of 2023 on Friday , the first day of December, the S & P 500 fell Monday. A mixed picture is revealed when looking at how every Club stock has performed in December over the past decade. The best-performing Club stock over the past 10 Decembers is Broadcom (AVGO), which has an average gain of 7.1% in the month. Salesforce (CRM) is the worst-performing Club stock in December over the past decade, falling 4.53% on average in the month. Amazon (AMZN), Coterra Energy (CTRA) and Costco (COST) round out the bottom five December performers over the past decade.

Persons: Sam Stovall, Santa Claus, hasn't, It's, Thursday's, Estee Lauder, Eli Lilly, —, Jim Cramer's, Jim Cramer, Jim, Tayfun Organizations: GE Healthcare, Broadcom, Procter & Gamble, Wynn Resorts, WYNN, Salesforce, Ford, Palo Alto Networks, Coterra Energy, Costco, Amazon, Caterpillar, Jim Cramer's Charitable, CNBC, Wall, York Stock Exchange, Financial, Anadolu Agency, Getty Locations: Santa, Broad St, New York City, United States

The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., February 24, 2022. Pressuring equities on Monday were higher U.S. Treasury yields, which made returns on stocks less attractive. However, some analysts have cautioned that markets have been too quick to price in lower interest rates. The S&P index recorded eight new 52-week highs and no new lows, while the Nasdaq recorded 46 new highs and 17 new lows. Reporting by Amruta Khandekar and Shristi Achar A; Editing by Anil D'Silva and Pooja DesaiOur Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Persons: Caitlin Ochs, Jerome Powell, It's, Sam Stovall, Stovall, Santa Claus, advancers, Amruta Khandekar, Anil D'Silva, Pooja Desai Organizations: New York Stock Exchange, REUTERS, Companies Alaska Air, Hawaiian Holdings, Dow, Nasdaq, Federal Reserve, Treasury, Nvidia, Apple, Traders, Research, Alaska Air Group, Dow Jones, Marathon, NYSE, Thomson Locations: New York City, U.S, New York, Santa, Israel, Red

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